Southern Utah
UAC · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#48
A #25-level team matches it 82% of the time
Power
#26
+9.3 pts · likely #10–50
Strength of schedule
40.9
#23 of 128
Strength of victory
30.9
#21
Record SOS
0.544
Opp. 57.2% · Opp. opp. 48.7%
Remaining SOS
38.6
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Utah. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at UC Davis | L 21-23 | +7.5 | +2.5 | 0.527 | 1 | +7.5 |
| 4 | vs Western Illinois | W 37-17 | −17.2 | −2.5 | 0.026 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 5 | vs Central Arkansas | L 27-29 | +10.5 | −2.5 | 0.475 | 2 | +5.4 |
| 6 | at Tarleton State | W 27-26 | +8.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.526
- Wk 12: at Utah Tech · p 0.246
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 21-24
- Wk 2: at BYUFBS · L 16-41