Austin Peay
UAC · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 19% of the time
Power
#12
+12.5 pts · likely #5–38
Strength of schedule
36.2
#43 of 128
Strength of victory
32.1
#16
Record SOS
0.526
Opp. 49.6% · Opp. opp. 58.4%
Remaining SOS
38.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Southern Illinois | L 23-49 | +10.6 | +2.5 | 0.610 | 1 | −11.0 |
| 3 | vs East Tennessee State | W 63-3 | −1.9 | −2.5 | 0.182 | 3 | +29.2 |
| 4 | at Stephen F. Austin | W 22-20 | +7.4 | +2.5 | 0.523 | 1 | +10.8 |
| 5 | at Lindenwood | W 52-10 | −10.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.487
- Wk 11: vs Utah Tech · p 0.153
- Wk 12: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.487
- Wk 13: vs Chattanooga · p 0.429
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TennesseeFBS · L 13-30