Gardner-Webb
OVC · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 61% of the time
Power
#53
+2.6 pts · likely #32–78
Strength of schedule
37.0
#38 of 128
Strength of victory
31.7
#18
Record SOS
0.658
Opp. 71.7% · Opp. opp. 54.1%
Remaining SOS
29.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Elon | W 34-27 | +7.8 | −2.5 | 0.401 | 2 | +10.8 |
| 3 | at Tennessee State | L 25-27 | +0.6 | +2.5 | 0.344 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 6 | vs Robert Morris | W 31-16 | −16.3 | −2.5 | 0.030 | 4 | −3.8 |
| 7 | at Austin Peay | L 14-41 | +10.7 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Bryant · p 0.352
- Wk 11: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.187
- Wk 12: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.088
- Wk 13: at Mercer · p 0.563
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Appalachian StateFBS · L 24-45
- Wk 4: at East CarolinaFBS · L 0-44