Elon
CAA · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 66% of the time
Power
#39
+6.3 pts · likely #18–61
Strength of schedule
42.8
#15 of 128
Strength of victory
36.2
#10
Record SOS
0.607
Opp. 64.4% · Opp. opp. 53.5%
Remaining SOS
48.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Gardner-Webb | L 27-34 | +1.7 | +2.5 | 0.371 | 2 | −1.9 |
| 3 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 27-3 | −3.7 | −2.5 | 0.152 | 3 | +16.7 |
| 4 | at Campbell | W 28-24 | +4.8 | +2.5 | 0.453 | 2 | +10.0 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | W 14-6 | +7.6 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Delaware · p 0.813
- Wk 11: at Richmond · p 0.494
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.133
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Wake ForestFBS · L 17-37