William & Mary
CAA · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#36
A #25-level team matches it 70% of the time
Power
#38
+6.6 pts · likely #19–61
Strength of schedule
27.8
#82 of 128
Strength of victory
25.5
#44
Record SOS
0.429
Opp. 37.0% · Opp. opp. 54.8%
Remaining SOS
42.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Campbell | W 34-24 | +5.4 | +2.5 | 0.471 | 2 | +16.0 |
| 2 | vs Wofford | W 23-6 | −13.0 | −2.5 | 0.048 | 4 | +3.0 |
| 3 | at Charleston Southern | W 15-7 | −9.2 | +2.5 | 0.143 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 4 | vs Maine | W 28-3 | −2.8 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at UAlbany · p 0.691
- Wk 11: at Hampton · p 0.220
- Wk 12: vs Richmond · p 0.362
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 6: at VirginiaFBS · L 13-27