Villanova
CAA · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 33% of the time
Power
#7
+13.9 pts · likely #4–32
Strength of schedule
28.7
#77 of 128
Strength of victory
23.1
#52
Record SOS
0.499
Opp. 45.2% · Opp. opp. 59.3%
Remaining SOS
64.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Lehigh | W 38-10 | −7.5 | +2.5 | 0.172 | 3 | +22.3 |
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 42-19 | −5.4 | −2.5 | 0.126 | 3 | +14.9 |
| 4 | vs Rhode Island | W 35-9 | +7.3 | −2.5 | 0.389 | 2 | +28.9 |
| 5 | at UAlbany | L 10-31 | +11.2 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at New Hampshire · p 0.661
- Wk 11: vs Towson · p 0.240
- Wk 12: at Delaware · p 0.813
- Wk 14: vs Youngstown State · p 0.546
- Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.943
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at UCFFBS · L 14-48