Colgate
Patriot · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#92
−5.6 pts · likely #65–107
Strength of schedule
37.5
#35 of 128
Strength of victory
28.4
#33
Record SOS
0.555
Opp. 57.1% · Opp. opp. 52.2%
Remaining SOS
33.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Villanova | L 19-42 | +14.6 | +2.5 | 0.710 | 1 | −6.6 |
| 3 | vs Penn | L 6-20 | +3.8 | −2.5 | 0.302 | 2 | −12.1 |
| 4 | at Holy Cross | L 7-47 | +14.2 | +2.5 | 0.699 | 1 | −17.8 |
| 5 | at Cornell | W 35-25 | −1.1 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Lafayette · p 0.562
- Wk 11: vs Lehigh · p 0.089
- Wk 12: vs Fordham · p 0.345
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at SyracuseFBS · L 0-65