Dartmouth
Ivy · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#54
+2.5 pts · likely #32–78
Strength of schedule
38.2
#32 of 128
Strength of victory
26.3
#40
Record SOS
0.521
Opp. 51.7% · Opp. opp. 53.0%
Remaining SOS
28.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dartmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at New Hampshire | L 7-24 | +11.9 | +2.5 | 0.644 | 1 | −2.6 |
| 4 | vs Lehigh | W 34-17 | −7.9 | −2.5 | 0.094 | 4 | +6.3 |
| 5 | at Penn | W 23-20 OT | +5.6 | +2.5 | 0.477 | 2 | +9.9 |
| 6 | vs Yale | L 24-31 | +7.1 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Princeton · p 0.337
- Wk 11: vs Cornell · p 0.162
- Wk 12: at Brown · p 0.351