Yale
Ivy · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#59
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#34
+8.0 pts · likely #14–55
Strength of schedule
27.5
#83 of 128
Strength of victory
24.4
#46
Record SOS
0.474
Opp. 43.2% · Opp. opp. 55.6%
Remaining SOS
44.8
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Holy Cross | L 24-49 | +13.0 | −2.5 | 0.543 | 1 | −12.8 |
| 4 | vs Cornell | L 21-23 | −5.2 | −2.5 | 0.129 | 3 | −7.7 |
| 5 | vs Morgan State | W 45-3 | +1.9 | −2.5 | 0.258 | 2 | +30.3 |
| 6 | at Dartmouth | W 31-24 | +3.3 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Brown · p 0.351
- Wk 11: at Princeton · p 0.467
- Wk 12: vs Harvard · p 0.525