Morgan State
MEAC · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#71
−2.2 pts · likely #52–97
Strength of schedule
43.5
#13 of 128
Strength of victory
39.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.590
Opp. 65.4% · Opp. opp. 46.1%
Remaining SOS
13.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Delaware State · p 0.021
- Wk 11: at South Carolina State · p 0.132
- Wk 12: at Howard · p 0.249
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at AkronFBS · L 21-24