Richmond
CAA · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#46
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#36
+7.8 pts · likely #15–54
Strength of schedule
20.2
#115 of 128
Strength of victory
23.2
#51
Record SOS
0.388
Opp. 29.6% · Opp. opp. 57.1%
Remaining SOS
52.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Richmond. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Morgan State | L 10-17 | −4.5 | −2.5 | 0.138 | 3 | −11.7 |
| 3 | vs Delaware State | W 38-6 | −17.3 | −2.5 | 0.025 | 4 | +12.0 |
| 4 | at Stony Brook | W 20-19 | −15.0 | +2.5 | 0.073 | 4 | −9.6 |
| 5 | vs Hampton | L 14-31 | −8.6 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Elon · p 0.371
- Wk 12: at William & Mary · p 0.510
- Wk 13: vs North Carolina Central · p 0.529
- Wk 14: at UAlbany · p 0.691
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Michigan StateFBS · L 14-45