North Carolina Central
MEAC · 6-0 vs FCS · 7-1 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 16% of the time
Power
#14
+12.5 pts · likely #5–39
Strength of schedule
24.3
#102 of 128
Strength of victory
24.3
#47
Record SOS
0.476
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 59.2%
Remaining SOS
22.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Carolina A&T | W 30-16 | −5.1 | +2.5 | 0.215 | 3 | +11.7 |
| 4 | vs (N) Mississippi Valley State | W 45-3 | −12.2 | 0.0 | 0.075 | 4 | +21.8 |
| 5 | vs Campbell | W 49-48 OT | +3.1 | −2.5 | 0.285 | 2 | +2.0 |
| 6 | at Elon | W 34-23 | +7.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Norfolk State · p 0.141
- Wk 11: at Howard · p 0.249
- Wk 12: vs Delaware State · p 0.021
- Wk 13: at Richmond · p 0.494
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Winston-SalemDII · W 47-21
- Wk 3: at UCLAFBS · L 7-59