Bucknell
Patriot · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#77
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#96
−8.0 pts · likely #74–114
Strength of schedule
30.4
#70 of 128
Strength of victory
21.8
#57
Record SOS
0.553
Opp. 56.8% · Opp. opp. 52.3%
Remaining SOS
22.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs VMI | W 21-13 | −8.9 | −2.5 | 0.083 | 4 | −3.3 |
| 4 | vs Penn | L 21-37 | +3.9 | −2.5 | 0.304 | 2 | −14.1 |
| 5 | at Lafayette | L 22-56 | +6.8 | +2.5 | 0.509 | 1 | −23.3 |
| 6 | vs Holy Cross | L 27-55 | +14.8 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Fordham · p 0.476
- Wk 11: vs Georgetown · p 0.133
- Wk 12: at Marist · p 0.055
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at James MadisonFBS · L 3-38