Lafayette
Patriot · 7-0 vs FCS · 7-1 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 3.2% of the time
Power
#31
+8.2 pts · likely #12–55
Strength of schedule
33.5
#53 of 128
Strength of victory
33.5
#13
Record SOS
0.516
Opp. 49.4% · Opp. opp. 55.9%
Remaining SOS
36.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lafayette. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Sacred Heart | W 19-14 | −14.2 | +2.5 | 0.080 | 4 | −5.0 |
| 3 | vs Columbia | W 24-3 | +0.5 | −2.5 | 0.229 | 3 | +17.4 |
| 4 | vs Monmouth | W 28-20 | +10.0 | −2.5 | 0.461 | 2 | +14.2 |
| 5 | vs Bucknell | W 56-22 | −6.2 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Colgate · p 0.126
- Wk 11: vs Fordham · p 0.345
- Wk 12: at Lehigh · p 0.156
- Wk 13: at Delaware · p 0.813
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at DukeFBS · L 7-42