Tennessee State
OVC · 5-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 58% of the time
Power
#61
+0.9 pts · likely #38–86
Strength of schedule
22.8
#109 of 128
Strength of victory
15.9
#65
Record SOS
0.448
Opp. 39.4% · Opp. opp. 55.5%
Remaining SOS
21.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 24-14 | −21.0 | 0.0 | 0.021 | 4 | −9.3 |
| 3 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 27-25 | +3.2 | −2.5 | 0.287 | 2 | +2.1 |
| 5 | at UT Martin | L 10-20 | +9.3 | +2.5 | 0.574 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 6 | at Kennesaw State | W 27-20 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Charleston Southern · p 0.155
- Wk 11: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.368
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.110
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Notre DameFBS · L 3-56
- Wk 8: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 54-0