East Tennessee State
Southern · 1-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#93
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#79
−3.3 pts · likely #54–101
Strength of schedule
45.3
#11 of 128
Strength of victory
7.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.570
Opp. 63.3% · Opp. opp. 44.6%
Remaining SOS
23.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Austin Peay | L 3-63 | +10.6 | +2.5 | 0.610 | 1 | −20.0 |
| 5 | at Samford | L 28-42 | +3.0 | +2.5 | 0.406 | 2 | −6.6 |
| 6 | vs Mercer | L 6-24 | +8.0 | −2.5 | 0.407 | 2 | −11.2 |
| 7 | vs Wofford | W 41-10 | −9.7 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs VMI · p 0.077
- Wk 11: at Western Carolina · p 0.597
- Wk 12: vs The Citadel · p 0.024
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Jacksonville StateFBS · L 3-49
- Wk 2: vs Carson-NewmanDII · W 42-0