Morehead State
Pioneer · 3-6 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#106
−9.7 pts · likely #84–117
Strength of schedule
24.1
#97 of 128
Strength of victory
12.7
#82
Record SOS
0.515
Opp. 55.7% · Opp. opp. 43.3%
Remaining SOS
4.6
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Mercer | L 22-48 | +8.2 | +2.7 | 0.550 | 1 | −13.9 |
| 4 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 28-35 | −3.4 | +2.7 | 0.256 | 2 | −6.5 |
| 5 | vs Drake | L 9-16 | −5.4 | −2.7 | 0.124 | 3 | −14.2 |
| 6 | vs Dayton | W 31-7 | −15.5 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Presbyterian · p 0.046
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs West Virginia StateDII · W 37-35