Dayton
Pioneer · 1-7 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#119
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#120
−15.1 pts · likely #104–125
Strength of schedule
15.9
#123 of 128
Strength of victory
2.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.393
Opp. 37.1% · Opp. opp. 43.7%
Remaining SOS
28.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
1-3
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Illinois State | L 0-41 | +9.6 | +2.7 | 0.589 | 1 | −22.5 |
| 4 | at San Diego | L 25-40 | −12.7 | +2.7 | 0.098 | 4 | −22.7 |
| 5 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | L 14-20 | −3.1 | −2.7 | 0.157 | 3 | −10.9 |
| 6 | at Morehead State | L 7-31 | −12.1 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Davidson · p 0.282
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central State (OH)DII · W 62-24
- Wk 3: vs TaylorNon-NCAA · W 52-20