Valparaiso
Pioneer · 2-6 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#114
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#112
−12.3 pts · likely #93–122
Strength of schedule
20.0
#114 of 128
Strength of victory
2.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.446
Opp. 44.1% · Opp. opp. 45.6%
Remaining SOS
25.0
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Youngstown State | L 10-52 | +10.5 | +2.7 | 0.612 | 1 | −22.2 |
| 4 | vs Marist | L 30-36 OT | −20.1 | −2.7 | 0.015 | 4 | −24.0 |
| 6 | at Drake | L 14-20 | −4.4 | +2.7 | 0.234 | 3 | −7.8 |
| 7 | vs Morehead State | L 21-24 | −10.9 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.250
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · L 22-24
- Wk 5: vs Southwest Minnesota StateDII · W 16-15