Mercer
Southern · 8-2 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#25
A #25-level team matches it 48% of the time
Power
#24
+9.4 pts · likely #10–49
Strength of schedule
26.1
#89 of 128
Strength of victory
20.0
#62
Record SOS
0.476
Opp. 45.9% · Opp. opp. 50.9%
Remaining SOS
65.7
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
4-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | W 17-7 | −2.1 | 0.0 | 0.225 | 3 | +7.1 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 48-22 | −10.1 | −2.7 | 0.070 | 4 | +13.6 |
| 4 | at Furman | L 14-38 | +11.4 | +2.7 | 0.635 | 1 | −7.8 |
| 5 | vs VMI | W 38-3 | −7.9 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.357
- Wk 14: at South Dakota State · p 0.956
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Ole MissFBS · L 7-73