Samford
Southern · 4-4 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#47
+5.0 pts · likely #23–69
Strength of schedule
30.7
#68 of 128
Strength of victory
10.2
#89
Record SOS
0.491
Opp. 49.5% · Opp. opp. 48.3%
Remaining SOS
46.8
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Western Carolina | L 7-30 | +8.9 | +2.7 | 0.569 | 1 | −10.7 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | L 24-47 | +6.7 | −2.7 | 0.368 | 2 | −16.4 |
| 5 | vs East Tennessee State | W 42-28 | −7.5 | −2.7 | 0.096 | 4 | +4.4 |
| 6 | at Wofford | W 31-10 | −9.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs UT Martin · p 0.468
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs ShorterDII · W 69-14
- Wk 3: at AuburnFBS · L 13-45