Tarleton State
UAC · 7-2 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 35% of the time
Power
#16
+10.7 pts · likely #8–41
Strength of schedule
33.7
#51 of 128
Strength of victory
29.2
#29
Record SOS
0.470
Opp. 43.6% · Opp. opp. 54.0%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at McNeese | W 52-34 | −13.2 | +2.7 | 0.093 | 4 | +8.3 |
| 2 | vs North Alabama | W 52-31 | −1.6 | −2.7 | 0.185 | 3 | +15.3 |
| 5 | at Southeastern Louisiana | W 14-13 | +0.8 | +2.7 | 0.354 | 2 | +6.7 |
| 6 | vs Southern Utah | L 26-27 | +11.7 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Texas TechFBS · L 3-41
- Wk 4: vs Southwest BaptistDII · W 27-13