Idaho State
Big Sky · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-7 overall
Strength of record
#108
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#109
−8.5 pts · likely #76–122
Strength of schedule
33.7
#36 of 130
Strength of victory
9.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.463
Opp. 45.6% · Opp. opp. 47.6%
Remaining SOS
62.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Central Arkansas | L 16-31 | +8.6 | −1.7 | 0.443 | 2 | −7.7 |
| 4 | at Northern Colorado | L 14-35 | −11.0 | +1.7 | 0.107 | 3 | −27.8 |
| 5 | vs Montana | L 20-28 | +14.0 | −1.7 | 0.589 | 1 | +1.3 |
| 6 | at Montana State | L 6-37 | +12.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at UC Davis · p 0.662
- Wk 11: at Weber State · p 0.683
- Wk 12: vs Idaho · p 0.543
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UNLVFBS · L 21-52
- Wk 2: at San Diego StateFBS · L 7-38