Montana State
Big Sky · 7-0 vs FCS · 7-1 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 7.1% of the time
Power
#9
+12.5 pts · likely #4–32
Strength of schedule
27.0
#88 of 130
Strength of victory
27.0
#24
Record SOS
0.449
Opp. 39.5% · Opp. opp. 55.5%
Remaining SOS
45.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 40-17 | −7.1 | −1.7 | 0.113 | 3 | +14.4 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −12.3 | −1.7 | 0.059 | 4 | +21.3 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | W 38-35 | −3.8 | +1.7 | 0.226 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 5 | vs UC Davis | W 41-24 | +15.4 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Northern Arizona · p 0.247
- Wk 11: at Cal Poly · p 0.125
- Wk 12: vs Montana · p 0.551
- Wk 14: vs Weber State · p 0.596
- Wk 15: vs William & Mary · p 0.507
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.719
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs (N) Oregon StateFBS · L 28-68