Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#89
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#108
−8.5 pts · likely #78–122
Strength of schedule
38.3
#18 of 130
Strength of victory
11.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.523
Opp. 54.8% · Opp. opp. 47.3%
Remaining SOS
19.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Houston Christian | L 34-46 | −13.2 | −1.7 | 0.052 | 4 | −25.0 |
| 3 | at Lamar | W 21-14 | −11.3 | +1.7 | 0.104 | 3 | −2.9 |
| 4 | vs Idaho State | W 35-14 | −5.8 | −1.7 | 0.131 | 3 | +10.7 |
| 5 | at Idaho | L 35-55 | +12.7 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Portland State · p 0.145
- Wk 11: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.179
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.261
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · L 10-33