Idaho
Big Sky · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 33% of the time
Power
#13
+11.7 pts · likely #4–36
Strength of schedule
31.7
#49 of 130
Strength of victory
23.9
#43
Record SOS
0.536
Opp. 53.2% · Opp. opp. 54.4%
Remaining SOS
37.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Drake | W 42-14 | −13.8 | −1.7 | 0.048 | 4 | +14.1 |
| 4 | at Northern Arizona | W 27-10 | −2.3 | +1.7 | 0.258 | 2 | +15.7 |
| 5 | vs Northern Colorado | W 55-35 | −8.8 | −1.7 | 0.092 | 4 | +9.8 |
| 7 | at Montana | W 30-23 | +13.6 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.191
- Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.573
- Wk 12: at Idaho State · p 0.138
- Wk 13: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.614
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Washington StateFBS · L 17-24
- Wk 2: at IndianaFBS · L 22-35