Portland State
Big Sky · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#57
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#106
−8.5 pts · likely #73–124
Strength of schedule
44.7
#5 of 130
Strength of victory
25.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.596
Opp. 61.4% · Opp. opp. 55.8%
Remaining SOS
27.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Portland State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at Montana | L 16-53 | +11.1 | +1.7 | 0.604 | 1 | −22.2 |
| 5 | vs Northern Arizona | W 35-27 | −1.2 | −1.7 | 0.209 | 3 | +3.3 |
| 7 | vs Weber State | L 7-42 | +12.2 | −1.7 | 0.539 | 1 | −23.7 |
| 8 | at Idaho | L 21-56 | +10.4 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.096
- Wk 11: vs Sacramento State · p 0.617
- Wk 12: at Cal Poly · p 0.125
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San José StateFBS · L 17-21
- Wk 2: at WashingtonFBS · L 6-52
- Wk 6: vs Lincoln University (CA)DII · W 48-6