Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#69
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#79
−3.0 pts · likely #51–105
Strength of schedule
33.1
#41 of 130
Strength of victory
24.1
#40
Record SOS
0.523
Opp. 51.2% · Opp. opp. 54.4%
Remaining SOS
43.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Sam Houston | W 10-3 | +6.8 | +1.7 | 0.488 | 2 | +13.2 |
| 3 | vs North Dakota | L 24-27 | +4.1 | −1.7 | 0.326 | 2 | −1.5 |
| 4 | vs Idaho | L 10-27 | +11.7 | −1.7 | 0.528 | 1 | −7.0 |
| 5 | at Portland State | L 27-35 | −10.4 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Montana State · p 0.570
- Wk 11: at Northern Colorado · p 0.142
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.596
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 3-40