Morehead State
Pioneer · 1-6 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#121
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#123
−12.0 pts · likely #96–127
Strength of schedule
33.9
#34 of 130
Strength of victory
0.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.469
Opp. 48.4% · Opp. opp. 43.9%
Remaining SOS
11.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Mercer | L 13-63 | +16.4 | +1.7 | 0.732 | 1 | −17.6 |
| 2 | at Montana State | L 13-63 | +12.3 | +1.7 | 0.635 | 1 | −20.8 |
| 4 | at Stetson | L 26-38 | −12.6 | +1.7 | 0.088 | 4 | −20.1 |
| 5 | vs Presbyterian | W 14-10 | −24.7 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Marist · p 0.048
- Wk 11: at Dayton · p 0.144
- Wk 12: vs San Diego · p 0.141
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 49-14