Butler
Pioneer · 4-2 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#55
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#51
+2.8 pts · likely #28–81
Strength of schedule
24.2
#109 of 130
Strength of victory
11.2
#72
Record SOS
0.537
Opp. 58.8% · Opp. opp. 43.3%
Remaining SOS
16.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at South Dakota State | L 17-45 | +14.3 | +1.7 | 0.685 | 1 | −11.2 |
| 5 | at Davidson | L 0-31 | +0.3 | +1.7 | 0.319 | 2 | −24.1 |
| 6 | vs Dayton | W 31-0 | −5.7 | −1.7 | 0.132 | 3 | +23.0 |
| 7 | at Valparaiso | W 26-25 | −5.5 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at San Diego · p 0.200
- Wk 11: at Drake · p 0.076
- Wk 12: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.214
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs St. Thomas University (Fl)Non-NCAA · W 31-26
- Wk 2: vs TaylorNon-NCAA · W 45-10