Marist
Pioneer · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#116
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#119
−11.1 pts · likely #95–126
Strength of schedule
13.9
#130 of 130
Strength of victory
8.3
#78
Record SOS
0.396
Opp. 36.7% · Opp. opp. 45.5%
Remaining SOS
11.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Marist. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Georgetown | L 12-43 | −13.5 | −1.7 | 0.050 | 4 | −42.0 |
| 3 | vs Columbia | L 3-38 | −1.4 | −1.7 | 0.205 | 3 | −36.2 |
| 4 | at Drake | W 30-25 | −13.0 | +1.7 | 0.084 | 4 | −5.4 |
| 5 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | L 24-38 | −1.4 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Morehead State · p 0.082
- Wk 11: vs Valparaiso · p 0.142
- Wk 12: at Bucknell · p 0.116