Dayton
Pioneer · 5-2 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#99
−6.3 pts · likely #69–117
Strength of schedule
15.0
#129 of 130
Strength of victory
8.3
#79
Record SOS
0.398
Opp. 37.0% · Opp. opp. 45.6%
Remaining SOS
16.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
4-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Robert Morris | W 22-20 | −18.2 | +1.7 | 0.042 | 4 | −12.6 |
| 2 | at Youngstown State | L 16-49 | +2.5 | +1.7 | 0.372 | 2 | −27.2 |
| 5 | vs Drake | W 27-14 | −13.1 | −1.7 | 0.053 | 4 | −0.9 |
| 6 | at Butler | L 0-31 | −1.9 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Presbyterian · p 0.018
- Wk 11: vs Morehead State · p 0.052
- Wk 12: at Davidson · p 0.422
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Kentucky StateDII · W 46-3