Davidson
Pioneer · 4-2 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#60
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#36
+5.2 pts · likely #18–67
Strength of schedule
22.5
#118 of 130
Strength of victory
12.7
#71
Record SOS
0.469
Opp. 46.1% · Opp. opp. 48.6%
Remaining SOS
25.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Davidson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Jacksonville State | L 17-35 | +11.0 | +1.7 | 0.601 | 1 | −5.4 |
| 4 | at Presbyterian | W 56-24 | −23.0 | +1.7 | 0.020 | 4 | +11.5 |
| 5 | vs Butler | W 31-0 | +5.1 | −1.7 | 0.351 | 2 | +32.1 |
| 6 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 16-27 | −3.2 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Stetson · p 0.069
- Wk 11: at San Diego · p 0.200
- Wk 12: vs Dayton · p 0.098
- Wk 13: at Richmond · p 0.657
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Barton CollegeDII · W 37-17
- Wk 3: vs St. AndrewsNon-NCAA · W 56-6