Central Arkansas
ASUN · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#24
+9.0 pts · likely #9–46
Strength of schedule
28.0
#82 of 130
Strength of victory
26.3
#30
Record SOS
0.499
Opp. 49.5% · Opp. opp. 50.8%
Remaining SOS
41.8
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | L 14-27 | −0.5 | −1.7 | 0.224 | 3 | −13.0 |
| 3 | at Idaho State | W 31-16 | −8.8 | +1.7 | 0.137 | 3 | +8.2 |
| 4 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 27-35 | +9.5 | +1.7 | 0.562 | 1 | +3.4 |
| 5 | vs Austin Peay | W 49-20 | +8.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.386
- Wk 11: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.330
- Wk 12: vs Jacksonville State · p 0.537
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ole MissFBS · L 3-59