Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 40% of the time
Power
#22
+9.7 pts · likely #8–45
Strength of schedule
26.5
#96 of 130
Strength of victory
26.7
#26
Record SOS
0.532
Opp. 54.4% · Opp. opp. 51.0%
Remaining SOS
30.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southern Illinois | W 34-31 | +5.4 | +1.7 | 0.450 | 2 | +9.7 |
| 3 | vs Nicholls State | W 42-16 | −9.7 | −1.7 | 0.083 | 4 | +14.4 |
| 4 | vs Central Arkansas | W 35-27 | +9.2 | −1.7 | 0.458 | 2 | +15.3 |
| 5 | at Lindenwood | W 49-28 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Tennessee State · p 0.350
- Wk 11: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.168
- Wk 12: vs Murray State · p 0.056
- Wk 13: at Montana · p 0.641
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 10-42