Southern Illinois
MVFC · 4-4 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#37
+5.0 pts · likely #20–63
Strength of schedule
39.4
#16 of 130
Strength of victory
32.1
#11
Record SOS
0.567
Opp. 57.1% · Opp. opp. 55.9%
Remaining SOS
50.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Incarnate Word | L 29-64 | +15.9 | +1.7 | 0.723 | 1 | −15.4 |
| 2 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 31-34 | +10.2 | −1.7 | 0.486 | 2 | +5.0 |
| 4 | vs North Dakota | W 34-17 | +5.6 | −1.7 | 0.365 | 2 | +18.5 |
| 5 | at Illinois State | W 19-14 | +3.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs North Dakota State · p 0.569
- Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.438
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NorthwesternFBS · W 31-24