Incarnate Word
Southland · 6-1 vs FCS · 8-1 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 27% of the time
Power
#2
+17.8 pts · likely #1–13
Strength of schedule
31.5
#55 of 130
Strength of victory
27.3
#20
Record SOS
0.473
Opp. 45.5% · Opp. opp. 50.9%
Remaining SOS
39.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern Illinois | W 64-29 | +8.0 | −1.7 | 0.426 | 2 | +38.3 |
| 3 | at Prairie View A&M | W 31-14 | +4.2 | +1.7 | 0.418 | 2 | +22.2 |
| 4 | at Southeastern Louisiana | L 35-41 | +9.8 | +1.7 | 0.568 | 1 | +6.2 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | W 48-20 | −7.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Houston Christian · p 0.070
- Wk 12: at Northwestern State · p 0.127
- Wk 14: vs Furman · p 0.413
- Wk 15: at Sacramento State · p 0.703
- Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.658
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NevadaFBS · W 55-41
- Wk 8: vs FaulknerNon-NCAA · W 70-0