South Dakota
MVFC · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#70
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#72
−2.3 pts · likely #51–103
Strength of schedule
45.4
#3 of 130
Strength of victory
24.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.594
Opp. 63.9% · Opp. opp. 50.3%
Remaining SOS
37.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Montana | L 7-24 | +12.4 | +1.7 | 0.638 | 1 | −4.2 |
| 3 | vs Cal Poly | W 38-21 | −8.7 | −1.7 | 0.094 | 4 | +5.6 |
| 4 | vs North Dakota State | L 17-34 | +12.8 | −1.7 | 0.555 | 1 | −6.8 |
| 6 | at South Dakota State | L 3-28 | +15.1 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Missouri State · p 0.288
- Wk 11: at North Dakota · p 0.407
- Wk 12: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.414
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 0-34