Northwestern State
Southland · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#107
−8.5 pts · likely #79–123
Strength of schedule
23.7
#113 of 130
Strength of victory
10.2
#75
Record SOS
0.407
Opp. 36.7% · Opp. opp. 48.6%
Remaining SOS
58.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northwestern State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 0-47 | +11.1 | +1.7 | 0.604 | 1 | −22.2 |
| 2 | vs (N) Grambling State | L 21-47 | −5.3 | 0.0 | 0.165 | 3 | −27.6 |
| 4 | vs Lamar | W 35-27 | −11.5 | −1.7 | 0.066 | 4 | −5.3 |
| 5 | vs Nicholls State | W 36-33 | −10.1 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at East Texas A&M · p 0.420
- Wk 11: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.614
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.709
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Southern MissFBS · L 10-64