Southern Illinois
MVFC · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 54% of the time
Power
#34
+6.3 pts · likely #15–60
Strength of schedule
40.0
#18 of 130
Strength of victory
32.2
#8
Record SOS
0.666
Opp. 71.7% · Opp. opp. 56.6%
Remaining SOS
40.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Incarnate Word | L 29-64 | +13.1 | +1.7 | 0.654 | 1 | −17.5 |
| 2 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 31-34 | +9.2 | −1.7 | 0.459 | 2 | +4.4 |
| 4 | vs North Dakota | W 34-17 | +5.6 | −1.7 | 0.366 | 2 | +18.4 |
| 5 | at Illinois State | W 19-14 | +5.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at South Dakota · p 0.281
- Wk 9: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.370
- Wk 11: vs North Dakota State · p 0.534
- Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.421
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NorthwesternFBS · W 31-24