Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 18% of the time
Power
#19
+9.1 pts · likely #8–49
Strength of schedule
27.9
#81 of 130
Strength of victory
27.9
#18
Record SOS
0.584
Opp. 53.0% · Opp. opp. 69.2%
Remaining SOS
29.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southern Illinois | W 34-31 | +6.3 | +1.7 | 0.473 | 2 | +11.0 |
| 3 | vs Nicholls State | W 42-16 | −8.7 | −1.7 | 0.093 | 4 | +14.8 |
| 4 | vs Central Arkansas | W 35-27 | +6.8 | −1.7 | 0.395 | 2 | +12.9 |
| 5 | at Lindenwood | W 49-28 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Northwestern State · p 0.168
- Wk 9: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.293
- Wk 10: at Tennessee State · p 0.426
- Wk 11: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.190
- Wk 12: vs Murray State · p 0.034
- Wk 13: at Montana · p 0.649
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 10-42