Western Illinois
MVFC · 0-5 vs FCS · 0-6 overall
Strength of record
#112
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#117
−9.8 pts · likely #85–126
Strength of schedule
44.2
#8 of 130
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.578
Opp. 63.0% · Opp. opp. 47.4%
Remaining SOS
35.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at UT Martin | L 25-42 | +8.1 | +1.7 | 0.523 | 1 | −7.7 |
| 3 | vs Southern Utah | L 10-17 | +3.9 | −1.7 | 0.322 | 2 | −6.2 |
| 4 | vs Northern Iowa | L 17-52 | +2.4 | −1.7 | 0.286 | 2 | −31.1 |
| 5 | at South Dakota State | L 10-34 | +12.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Youngstown State · p 0.333
- Wk 9: at Missouri State · p 0.324
- Wk 10: vs North Dakota State · p 0.534
- Wk 11: vs Indiana State · p 0.174
- Wk 12: at Illinois State · p 0.422
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at MinnesotaFBS · L 10-62