UT Martin
OVC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#26
+7.6 pts · likely #10–55
Strength of schedule
16.6
#126 of 130
Strength of victory
13.8
#56
Record SOS
0.402
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 70.7%
Remaining SOS
22.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UT Martin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Western Illinois | W 42-25 | −10.3 | −1.7 | 0.077 | 4 | +5.5 |
| 2 | at Missouri State | L 30-35 | −1.3 | +1.7 | 0.279 | 2 | −3.8 |
| 4 | vs Lindenwood | W 56-26 | −1.0 | −1.7 | 0.213 | 3 | +24.7 |
| 5 | vs Tennessee Tech | W 45-28 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Houston Christian · p 0.158
- Wk 10: vs Kennesaw State · p 0.168
- Wk 11: at Tennessee State · p 0.426
- Wk 12: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.134
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Boise StateFBS · L 7-30