Incarnate Word
Southland · 5-1 vs FCS · 6-1 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 44% of the time
Power
#3
+15.8 pts · likely #2–19
Strength of schedule
28.3
#77 of 130
Strength of victory
23.9
#31
Record SOS
0.456
Opp. 38.6% · Opp. opp. 59.5%
Remaining SOS
39.6
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern Illinois | W 64-29 | +9.8 | −1.7 | 0.476 | 2 | +39.6 |
| 3 | at Prairie View A&M | W 31-14 | +2.0 | +1.7 | 0.361 | 2 | +19.5 |
| 4 | at Southeastern Louisiana | L 35-41 | +7.4 | +1.7 | 0.503 | 1 | +4.8 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | W 48-20 | −8.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at East Texas A&M · p 0.417
- Wk 10: vs Houston Christian · p 0.108
- Wk 12: at Northwestern State · p 0.168
- Wk 14: vs Furman · p 0.340
- Wk 15: at Sacramento State · p 0.720
- Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.624
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NevadaFBS · W 55-41