Northwestern State
Southland · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#94
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#119
−9.5 pts · likely #82–125
Strength of schedule
22.8
#106 of 130
Strength of victory
11.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.396
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 52.0%
Remaining SOS
44.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northwestern State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 0-47 | +12.6 | +1.9 | 0.646 | 1 | −19.7 |
| 2 | vs (N) Grambling State | L 21-47 | −11.8 | 0.0 | 0.079 | 4 | −33.5 |
| 4 | vs Lamar | W 35-27 | −7.8 | −1.9 | 0.103 | 3 | −2.9 |
| 5 | vs Nicholls State | W 36-33 | −6.6 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Houston Christian · p 0.262
- Wk 8: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.457
- Wk 10: at East Texas A&M · p 0.339
- Wk 11: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.556
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.619
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Southern MissFBS · L 10-64