Grambling State
SWAC · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#106
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#107
−7.5 pts · likely #71–122
Strength of schedule
27.2
#76 of 130
Strength of victory
15.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.434
Opp. 44.7% · Opp. opp. 40.9%
Remaining SOS
29.1
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Grambling State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs (N) Northwestern State | W 47-21 | −6.1 | 0.0 | 0.152 | 3 | +16.5 |
| 3 | at Jackson State | L 24-66 | +14.1 | +1.9 | 0.683 | 1 | −18.2 |
| 4 | at Bethune-Cookman | L 19-36 | −12.2 | +1.9 | 0.095 | 4 | −23.3 |
| 5 | vs (N) Prairie View A&M | L 14-34 | −0.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Florida A&M · p 0.240
- Wk 9: vs Alcorn State · p 0.295
- Wk 10: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.090
- Wk 11: at Texas Southern · p 0.369
- Wk 13: vs (N) Southern · p 0.460
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arkansas StateFBS · L 3-58