Alabama A&M
SWAC · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#78
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#101
−6.2 pts · likely #63–120
Strength of schedule
20.7
#112 of 130
Strength of victory
10.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.460
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 37.9%
Remaining SOS
29.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama A&M. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Austin Peay | L 3-28 | +3.6 | −1.9 | 0.310 | 2 | −21.5 |
| 4 | at Florida A&M | L 25-38 | −0.4 | +1.9 | 0.306 | 2 | −10.0 |
| 5 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 35-27 | −7.7 | −1.9 | 0.103 | 3 | −2.0 |
| 6 | vs Grambling State | W 37-31 OT | −7.4 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.139
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama State · p 0.281
- Wk 10: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.072
- Wk 11: vs (N) Jackson State · p 0.682
- Wk 12: vs Texas Southern · p 0.278
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at UABFBS · L 0-59
- Wk 2: at TroyFBS · L 17-38