Austin Peay
ASUN · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#39
A #25-level team matches it 76% of the time
Power
#32
+5.4 pts · likely #13–68
Strength of schedule
19.3
#117 of 130
Strength of victory
17.8
#40
Record SOS
0.437
Opp. 38.3% · Opp. opp. 54.3%
Remaining SOS
27.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 63-0 | −16.4 | −1.9 | 0.032 | 4 | +16.0 |
| 2 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 41-0 | −12.0 | −1.9 | 0.060 | 4 | +19.0 |
| 3 | at Alabama A&M | W 28-3 | −3.5 | +1.9 | 0.235 | 3 | +20.7 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Kentucky | W 31-20 | +6.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Murray State · p 0.042
- Wk 9: vs Jacksonville State · p 0.554
- Wk 10: at North Alabama · p 0.197
- Wk 11: at Kennesaw State · p 0.309
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Western KentuckyFBS · L 27-38