Mississippi Valley State
SWAC · 0-5 vs FCS · 0-6 overall
Strength of record
#109
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#127
−14.1 pts · likely #103–129
Strength of schedule
42.1
#13 of 130
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.661
Opp. 81.7% · Opp. opp. 34.8%
Remaining SOS
26.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mississippi Valley State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Tarleton State | L 13-29 | +5.0 | +1.9 | 0.445 | 2 | −10.2 |
| 2 | at Austin Peay | L 0-41 | +3.9 | +1.9 | 0.413 | 2 | −27.7 |
| 4 | at Jackson State | L 7-49 | +15.4 | +1.9 | 0.715 | 1 | −18.2 |
| 5 | at Florida A&M | L 7-34 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Alabama State · p 0.326
- Wk 8: vs Bethune-Cookman · p 0.093
- Wk 10: vs Alabama A&M · p 0.116
- Wk 11: at Southern · p 0.511
- Wk 12: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.255
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Delta StateDII · L 17-28