Alcorn State
SWAC · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#45
+3.3 pts · likely #19–84
Strength of schedule
14.6
#127 of 130
Strength of victory
13.2
#46
Record SOS
0.305
Opp. 8.3% · Opp. opp. 74.9%
Remaining SOS
33.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alcorn State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stephen F. Austin | L 27-31 | −2.1 | −1.9 | 0.190 | 3 | −5.9 |
| 3 | at McNeese | W 30-19 | −4.9 | +1.9 | 0.208 | 3 | +7.1 |
| 4 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 38-21 | −8.0 | −1.9 | 0.100 | 3 | +6.7 |
| 6 | at Mississippi Valley State | W 30-7 | −12.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Southern · p 0.511
- Wk 8: vs Texas Southern · p 0.278
- Wk 9: at Grambling State · p 0.162
- Wk 10: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.344
- Wk 11: vs Bethune-Cookman · p 0.093
- Wk 12: vs Jackson State · p 0.635
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TulaneFBS · L 0-52